Few parties would consider a second place finish a small victory, but for the often marginalized Green Party in Canada, second place helps to dispel the myth that no one would vote Green as a serious choice in a federal election. Even tonight as the Liberals win a seat that is largely pointless to them, as it doesn’t change their standing in the House of Commons, there are partisan bloggers moving to marginalize Elizabeth May’s accomplishment in London, Ontario. For a widely discounted party like the Greens to finish second, and ahead of the currently governing party’s candidate, isn’t an indication of burnout like Jason Cherniak is suggesting. It’s an indicator that the voters want an alternative to the Liberals and Conservatives and NDP who have run the show in Parliament for so long now it’s clear even the NDP are a party more concerned about maintaining the status quo than acting in a progressive manner.
Ask yourself how the Liberal support could drop by 5%, Conservative 5%, NDP 10% and the Green support increase by 20%.
(5 + 5 + 10) = 20
It seems the NDP are the alternative party that ought to be quaking in their boots next election, not the Greens. Granted, May is a party leader which complicates things, but I’d guess that the result tonight bodes well for the Green Party - and is no harbinger of doom. Stealing 20% of the popular vote from ALL parties, not just the NDP (which is a common misconception about the Greens) is never a harbinger of doom (except for perhaps the parties losing the 20%).

For Jason’s theory to be right, that “she lost when it would be safe to vote for any opposition,” May will have to do worse than 26% of the popular vote in Cape Breton in the coming general election. Judging by her charisma, and ability to attract media coverage that approaches equal airtime to established parties, I’d say Jason will have egg on his face. Or if he means ‘no better than a second place finish’, he may unfortunately be right by the skin of his teeth, given Canada’s outdated First Past The Post electoral dinosaur system. If I were more of a betting person I’d be inclined to make a friendly wager with Mr. Cherniak on May’s coming victory in the Maritimes - something where the loser would feature the opposing leader’s face on his blog for a week.
“I don’t think she will ever do better than this.” We’ll see, Jason. Yes we will see.
Congratulations to Mr. Pearson for the Liberal win. And a heartfelt “better luck next time” goes out to the 2 alternative parties, the Conservatives and NDP. I hope CAP and PCP will do better in future elections, since we need more variety in the House, not homogeneous white haired white guys in suits. [Note to Haskett voters: Homogeneous does not mean homosexual.] (And I just remembered, I saw Ali G’s movie about him getting to sit as an MP in Britain. “Ali G Indahouse” [5/10], which was an interesting reminder that “Keeping It Real” is not on the list of most political party’s platforms.)
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